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Since didi took the first step in the commercialization of automatic driving in Shanghai, it gives us a feeling that the automatic driving world is getting closer and closer to us. Automatic driving has become the focus of chatting after dinner. We look forward to the popularization of this technology, so that we can spend more road time for rest and recreation without driving a car.
Will automatic driving be popularized? The answer is yes. Automatic driving will eventually enter every household, but it is impossible to achieve it in the short term. The real popularization also needs the blessing of technology, policy, pricing, insurance judgment, post market logistics support and other aspects (the topic will be specially discussed in the follow-up). Only now, there is a perfect closed-loop control for ordinary vehicles in all aspects, Only then will it be possible to realize the final popularization.
More people will think of the advanced nature of automatic driving technology, but few people will consider if the popularity of automatic driving will become what the post market will become. This problem is far away from us, but it is a necessary and indispensable direction for the popularization of automatic driving.
First of all, do self driving cars need support from the post market? The commercialization of automatic driving will certainly bring about a safer driving environment, and the possibility of vehicle collision will be smaller or even disappear. At that time, the use of vehicles will also change from the present. A safe driving environment will not have too many requirements for vehicle insurance in the general environment. In addition to the demand for regular replacement of vehicle parts and car washing by automobile maintenance plants, There will not be too many highlights, so the insurance industry and maintenance industry will be largely reduced in the automatic driving world.
Secondly, will the role of "repair shop" in the automatic driving world be played by today’s repair shop? As mentioned above, in the commercial world of autonomous driving, the role of repair shop will not be highlighted too much, but more about the upgrading and maintenance of the system in the Internet industry. Autonomous vehicles are the product of the perfect combination of vehicle hardware and software. In the future, the hardware facilities of vehicles will be more perfect and fixed, and the demand for hardware will be greatly reduced when the possibility of vehicle collision becomes smaller and disappears. The evaluation focus of people buying vehicles (assuming they still need to buy their own vehicles) will shift from hardware configuration to the safety of built-in software, When the importance of software exceeds that of hardware facilities, the role of "repair shop" will be changed, and Internet enterprises will become well-known repair shops. Each repair task is the regular updating and maintenance of vehicle software. Therefore, the aftermarket in the world of automatic driving will change dramatically.
The automotive aftermarket has always been responsible for the service demand in the process of driving. On the premise of automatic driving, the number of aftermarket will not be too high. While the popularity of automatic driving is expected, it may also lead to the unemployment of a large number of professionals. The automotive aftermarket in the automatic driving world may be the same as what we are concerned about now, Gradually disappeared in the eyes of the public.
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